Every year, like clockwork, all the major marketing publications write the exact same piece of content. It’s called the “20XX Marketing Industry Predictions” list, and—mark my words—everyone on Marketing Twitter™ has shared one by now.
Spoiler alert: This isn’t one of those lists.
Rather than creating a 2021 predictions list based on our unparalleled wisdom (or educated guesstimates) we threw it in reverse and kicked it back to our audience. That’s right: If you answered our recent survey asking marketers to choose their top three most overlooked and most overhyped trends in 2020, this list came from you.
Think of this piece as Marketing Brew’s Audience Choice Awards, but for marketing trends rather than Nickelodeon stars.
Why me? We know we have a smart group of marketing professionals on our hands here, so we figured, who better to weigh in on what industry trends were most overhyped and overlooked in 2020 than nearly 400 of our most engaged readers?
Out of a list of 15 top marketing trends, you all identified the following five as the most overlooked in 2020.
- Micro-influencers gaining prominence
- Death of the third-party cookie
- Content remaining king in 2020
- Brand values taking center stage
- In-housing accelerating
No. 1, No. 2, and No. 5 were by far the most interesting to us—read on to find out why.
No. 1 most overlooked trend: Micro-influencers gaining prominence
Y’all had some feelings about this one. “Micro-influencers gaining prominence” was the only trend to be among the top 5 most overlooked AND most overhyped.
Quick refresher: A micro influencer = a brand partner with 1,000 to 10,000 social media followers. Other common characteristics include specializing in a particular nicheand high engagement rates, per Hubspot.
It’s not a generational divide: Both execs and your average marketing Joe had strong, mixed feelings about how micro-influencers were treated as a trend, so it’s not simply a difference of position thing—these influencers stir up controversy from the intern to the CMO.
But it’s probably a scale issue: Some types of brands, like local brands looking to geotarget a specific group, need micro-influencers to thrive. Others—like global DTC fashion brand Revolve, which seems to primarily target influencers with around 1 million followers—probably find celebrity influencers more useful for their general brand awareness plays.
Bottom line: More brands found success with micro-influencers this year—but that doesn’t mean they resonate with every brand’s goals.
If you’re curious why so many readers felt micro-influencers were overlooked this year, here are some fast facts from the ANA about the pros of micro-influencing:
- 92% of consumers trust micro-influencers more than traditional advertising or a celebrity endorsement.
- More than 82% of consumers are “likely to buy” micro-influencer-recommended products.
- Micro-influencers drive 22.2 times more conversions than a typical user.
No. 2 most overlooked trend: Death of the third-party cookie
Based on the results of our poll…there’s a small chance some respondents don’t truly understand how important the third-party cookie’s exit is to our industry. The gap between execs and overall respondents was bigger than The Gap’s 2002 flagship store.
- 30.6% of marketing pros as a whole thought the industry overlooked just how important the death of the third-party cookie is.
- But almost 38.7% of marketing executives thought so, putting “the death of the third-party cookie” safely in their number one slot.
Zoom out: In case you’ve been living under a baking sheet, here’s how Hubspot explained the death of the third-party cookie and why it matters to advertisers:
- “When a web visitor visits your site and others, the third-party cookie tracks this information and sends it to the third-party who created the cookie—which might be an advertiser,” wrote Pamela Bump for Hubspot.
- But with the phasing out of cookies by major browsers including Google, “If you're a marketer that relies on robust data for online advertising, pop-up ads, or a pinpointed audience-targeting strategy, you'll need to continue to follow the news around this phase-out, and consider alternative first-party strategies, as the phase-out nears,” Bump continued.
Digging deeper: The third-party cookie’s departure is complicated, and exec respondents viewed it as more impactful than the average marketer respondent did. Perhaps that’s because while CMOs have to think about every aspect of their marketing strategy—from programmatic to events—more specialized employees might never have to touch a cookie, in practice.
Either that, or the opposite is true and the execs calling the shots thought we were talking about actual cookies.
If you want to learn more abou why third-party cookies are so important, here are a few guides to get you started:
- The Death of the Third-Party Cookie: What Marketers Need to Know
- The Death of Cookies and the Threat to Digital Marketing
- No More Third-Party Cookies, No Problemo
No. 5 most overlooked trend: Taking marketing in-house
Okay, so maybe in-house marketing teams have been on the rise for years now—so much so that the move away from agencies was even referenced in Emily in Paris. But Covid-19 turned the trend-o-meter up to 11.
Even Gap, a clothing brand many would consider “traditional,” decided to take its creative team entirely in-house in 2020. And the World Federation of Advertisers recently found that 74% of internal creative teams were created over the past five years. Those teams are working hard: 82% of WFA respondents reported that workloads have increased in the past year, per Marketing Dive.
Brands taking marketing in-house barely made the top five overlooked marketing trends in this poll. There was a difference of only 1% between slots number five and six here.
Why it matters: That said, I agree that the in-housing trend is a bigger deal than the industry made it out to be in 2020. Here’s why:
- Many former Madison Avenue employees would agree that the in-housing trend accelerated this year’s layoffs. By 2021, Forrester estimates that 50,000 marketing and advertising jobs will be lost on the agency side alone.
- And it’s a vicious cycle: Forrester recently told Marketing Dive that 2020’s ad industry layoffs will devastate the traditional agency talent pool and contribute to the move in-house as young upstarts seek work elsewhere.
For context, here are the most important in-housing announcements from the past year:
- Gap Follows the Trend, Opts to Take Marketing In-House
- Coca-Cola Consolidates Its Agencies
- Oliver—An Agency Specializing in In-Housing—Makes Adweek’s Fastest Growing Agencies List
- Bonus: So, You’ve Decided to In-House: How to Handle The Complexity Ahead
Write-ins
We gave Marketing Brew readers who participated in our Overlooked/Overhyped survey the chance to write in anything we missed.
Two notable overlooked write-ins below:
- SMS/text-message marketing: At the end of 2019, this trend showed up on many a 2020 prediction list (in that way, it was overhyped). But ultimately we didn’t see it play out on a larger scale, perhaps because of increased social media usage during quarantine...so perhaps I agree with this reader that it was ultimately overlooked.
- Virtual events and webinars: LOL, who wrote this? I definitely wouldn’t describe these as “overlooked,” but if you think they were, hit reply on any Marketing Brew email with your take.
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Out of a list of 15 marketing trends, savvy readers called these the five most overhyped last year.
- TikTok
- Advertisers boycotting platforms
- “Instagram is removing likes” workarounds
- Micro-influencers gaining prominence
- Brand values taking center stage
The top three in particular made the Brew Crew nod over our coffee cups.
No. 1 most overhyped trend: TikTok
We can all agree on one thing—none of us could shut up about TikTok this year. Execs and marketing pros across the board ranked it as the most overhyped topic of the year, and by a very wide margin. But in my opinion, some* of the hype was warranted.
- It’s not every day, or even every year, a new platform becomes a legit Facebook competitor.
- Just ask the FTC, 48 state attorneys general, and the House Judiciary Subcommittee on Antitrust, all of whom have concluded Facebook holds monopoly power.
*But definitely not all the hype—I could have made it through 2020 without 100 think pieces on how TikTok houses will redefine the marketing industry. While a new social media marketing platform is (really!) exciting for marketers, it's still too early to know if it can rival the efficacy of established tech giants like Facebook and Twitter.
In other words, we just need more patience while TikTok develops its marketing arm before raving about it this much. The platform is still young, and has plenty of time to fall flat—don’t make me bring up Vine.
However…
If you’re looking for a solid think piece about why people were so excited about TikTok this year, here are my suggestions. Xoxo, a social media marketing-obsessed gal who had to read all these for her job (and even write a few).
- We Tested Instagram Reels, the TikTok Clone. What a Dud.
- The Teens Are Riding Out Coronavirus on TikTok
- The TikTok/Oracle Deal: Everything Marketers Need to Know
- TikTok Is the Best Medium for Our Absurdist Present
No. 2 most overhyped trend: Advertisers boycotting platforms
In June, no one in the marketing world could stop talking about dozens of big-name advertisers such as Walgreens and Coca-Cola boycotting Facebook due to the social network’s inaction on hate speech. But despite almost every top individual advertiser on FB pausing advertising on FB or Insta in some way, shape, or form, Facebook raked in record earnings.
That’s because of DTCs: Glossier and Casper’s FB ad campaigns kept right on truckin’ during the boycott—but that’s not because they agreed with Facebook’s allowing hate speech on the platform.
- “If a brand like Glossier stops spending money on Facebook, they will lose money...The DTC business model, for the vast majority of DTC brands, relies on Facebook to drive revenue,” Kevin Simonson, VP of social for digital marketing agency Wpromote, told Marketing Brew in July.
Big picture: Small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) account for nearly 75% of Facebook's yearly ad rev, hence Facebook’s record earnings despite major spenders’ boycotting the platform.
Was the hype worth it? Yes and no.
No: The boycotts didn't end up making a dent in Facebook’s ad rev, despite marketers’ best efforts. And Facebook didn’t meet a lot of boycotter demands as a result.
But also, yes: It’s not every day a bunch of corporate giants decide to publicly denounce another corporate giant, and Facebook did make some changes as a result of the boycott.
ICYMI: Our 2020 Facebook boycott coverage is below.
- What the Facebook Boycotts Mean, Really
- For Reddit and Pinterest, It’s Time to Shine
- A Pause for Influencer Marketing
- Direct-to-Consumer Realpolitik
- Facebook’s Civil Rights Audit Drops During Boycotts
No. 3 most overhyped trend: “Instagram is removing likes” workarounds
Spoiler alert: Instagram didn’t do it, even after social media marketers spent much of Q4 2019 and Q1 2020 worrying about a world without likes. To me, that’s the definition of overhyped. Perhaps that’s because we haven’t spoken about this once since the pandemic began, which feels like at least 40 years ago.
Best of the “What to do when Instagram was removing likes” articles, just in case it ever does happen:
- New Report Examines the Impact of Instagram's Hidden Likes Experiment on Influencer Engagement
- Hiding Likes on Instagram Could Change Influencer Marketing for the Better, Marketers Say
- As Instagram tests its ‘like’ ban, influencers will have to shift tactics to make money
Write-ins
Marketing Brew readers always come through—hence why many of you responded with your own most “overlooked” or “overhyped” trends that we left out.
Two notable overhyped write-ins below:
- Virtual events and webinars: Yes, this is the correct place for this write in. Good work, submitter.
- LinkedIn as a marketing platform: I couldn’t agree more that this was overhyped for B2C companies, especially when it comes to LinkedIn Stories.
Looking ahead...
In addition to thinking about what marketers overhyped and underhyped in 2020, we also asked respondents to think about the most important trends in 2021. Check back next year to see if you were right, but as of 2020, Marketing Brew’s audience thought brand values will be extra important in 2021.